Four priority trade targets to help you win a fantasy championship.
This article looks at the likelihood of a wide receiver taken as a top 36 receiver in a startup draft, or a WR taken in the first two rounds of a rookie draft, helping you win a fantasy championship within the next three years. This article uses myfantasyleague.com WR ADP data and the fantasyfootballcalculator.com Dynasty rookie draft ADP from 2013 to 2019. Startup draft data is broken into WR 1-12, WR 13-24, and WR 25-36, and what are the chances that any of these receivers finish as a top 24 receiver or are considered a bust by falling out of the top 36 receivers within the next three years. The dynasty rookie draft data is broken down by first and second-round receiver ADP and their likelihood of finishing as a top 24 receiver or outside the top 36 and thus being considered a bust in any of their first three years using half PPR scoring.
Now that you are armed with the mathematical tools to identify what a future stud looks like on paper. How do you when math is being a back-stabbing bitch and pulls the rug out from under you and allows your dynasty stock to fall into the shadow like Gandalf battling the Balrog? The simple answer is you don’t. But there are in my opinion red flags that reveal themselves when you watch the tape. And by tape, I mean hours of any internet video you can get your hands on to watch the given player do every kind of movement you can possibly see.
What is the point of all this? Why is this important? It’s important because when you are drafting Wide receivers as rookies or buying/selling them based on what happened their rookie year, you have to get it right. At no point throughout that Receivers career are 10 touches a game just going to fall into their lap. Is David Montgomery good? Does anyone actually know? Does it matter? Don’t be silly OF COURSE it doesn’t matter. The Bears have chosen to endow him with 250 carries next year. He was drafted top 3 in most dynasty rookie drafts last year. He was awful, I mean hot garbage. I bet most owners of David Montgomery if they held on could probably still get a 1st round rookie value of some kind back for him in return. Even if he goes out an average 3 yards a carry next year. He will still likely see a role in 2021.
A must-read in-depth breakdown of all the fantasy relevant players in the NFC South!
A must-read deep dive into the NFC West's fantasy outlook in 2020.
A debate within an article to answer one question: Who's the top dog receiver in Miami?
In my never-ending quest to bring attention to players worth stashing on the end of your bench, I'm bringing you not one, not two, but SEVEN. An entire starting roster of rookie players going incredibly late in drafts with the potential to break out and make you look like a genius.
The most recent question to take fantasy football by storm is, “What do I do about Deebo Samuel and what does his injury mean for my team?” This article has got you covered; we provide you with an in depth breakdown of what exactly a Jones fracture is, how it happens, why it is so common amongst NFL wide receivers, how some have recovered, and what it might mean for Deebo going forward. Let us know what you think by reaching out on twitter to @kallen_4 and @M_Walt_10!