Now that you are armed with the mathematical tools to identify what a future stud looks like on paper. How do you when math is being a back-stabbing bitch and pulls the rug out from under you and allows your dynasty stock to fall into the shadow like Gandalf battling the Balrog? The simple answer is you don’t. But there are in my opinion red flags that reveal themselves when you watch the tape. And by tape, I mean hours of any internet video you can get your hands on to watch the given player do every kind of movement you can possibly see.
What is the point of all this? Why is this important? It’s important because when you are drafting Wide receivers as rookies or buying/selling them based on what happened their rookie year, you have to get it right. At no point throughout that Receivers career are 10 touches a game just going to fall into their lap. Is David Montgomery good? Does anyone actually know? Does it matter? Don’t be silly OF COURSE it doesn’t matter. The Bears have chosen to endow him with 250 carries next year. He was drafted top 3 in most dynasty rookie drafts last year. He was awful, I mean hot garbage. I bet most owners of David Montgomery if they held on could probably still get a 1st round rookie value of some kind back for him in return. Even if he goes out an average 3 yards a carry next year. He will still likely see a role in 2021.
Meet Zack Moss, a senior running back from the University of Utah!