Sutton has done everything the Broncos have asked through his first two years in the league. He is the team's WR1, and he looks to be the go-to target for Drew Lock in his second year. In 2018, his rookie year, Sutton finished as WR51 in 0.5 PPR leagues. Last year, Sutton jumped all the way up to WR19. That is precisely the kind of ascent a fantasy manager looks for when projecting a future WR1 in fantasy football.
For those who didn't see this series last year, I try to take a different approach to fantasy projections than your run-of-the-mill rankings. The basis of my process is that the number one indicator of fantasy success is opportunities to touch the ball. Obviously individual player skill can (and will) affect that, but at the end of the day players are at the mercy of playcalling and play design. Therefore, if we want to make accurate projections, we need to look at each coach's scheme and how they like to spread the ball around.
Drafting rookies is as much about landing spot as it is about talent and potential. Let's take a look at six rookie wide receivers and decide whether or not we should draft or fade.