The Dynasty Wide Receiver Manifesto: Part 2 – Film Study

Now that you are armed with the mathematical tools to identify what a future stud looks like on paper. How do you when math is being a back-stabbing bitch and pulls the rug out from under you and allows your dynasty stock to fall into the shadow like Gandalf battling the Balrog? The simple answer is you don’t. But there are in my opinion red flags that reveal themselves when you watch the tape. And by tape, I mean hours of any internet video you can get your hands on to watch the given player do every kind of movement you can possibly see.

The Dynasty Wide Receiver Manifesto: Part 1 – Metrics

What is the point of all this? Why is this important? It’s important because when you are drafting Wide receivers as rookies or buying/selling them based on what happened their rookie year, you have to get it right. At no point throughout that Receivers career are 10 touches a game just going to fall into their lap. Is David Montgomery good? Does anyone actually know? Does it matter? Don’t be silly OF COURSE it doesn’t matter. The Bears have chosen to endow him with 250 carries next year. He was drafted top 3 in most dynasty rookie drafts last year. He was awful, I mean hot garbage. I bet most owners of David Montgomery if they held on could probably still get a 1st round rookie value of some kind back for him in return. Even if he goes out an average 3 yards a carry next year. He will still likely see a role in 2021.

Baltimore Ravens: 2020 Team Projections

Safe to say that no one in the Ravens coaching staff is losing their jobs due to poor performance last season. Perhaps more surprising is that none of them left for greener pastures after such all-around dominance. Offensive coordinator Greg Roman commanded the top offense in the NFL while defensive coordinator Don Martindale coached up a top 5 defense despite the mass exodus of star players prior to the 2019 season (earning himself quite the payday as a result). And of course, we can't forget head coach John Harbaugh, who was considered to be on the hot seat just a year and a half ago. There aren't many more secure HC seats going into 2020.

Arizona Cardinals: 2020 Team Projections

Nothing new to see here. Kliff Kingsbury returns for year two of his Arizona rebuild as both head coach and offensive coordinator after some eye-opening improvement on the offensive side of the ball. Defensive coordinator Vance Joseph returns as well, although his seat is likely to be considerably hotter than Kliff's after the defense actually posted worse numbers than they did in 2018.

Washington TBD: 2020 Team Projections

This year just felt like the physical embodiment of Murphy's Law for the Redskins. The defense regressed, the rookie quarterback did not appear ready for the big league, and approximately everyone was injured. Jay Gruden stood no chance. Taking his place as the new head coach will be Panthers castoff Ron Rivera. Rivera brings with him Scott Turner from Carolina to be the offensive coordinator. His defensive coordinator will be Jack Del Rio, who last coached at the NFL level in 2017.