By Ryan Bickerstaff
My last two pieces have gone over like a lead zeppelin, but that’s fine. Y’all don’t have to agree with me or like what I say. You keep coming back to read these things anyway.
Now that we finally know the landing spots and draft capital for all these guys, I’m back with my final rookie mock for the class of 2021.
As mentioned before, this will be significantly less in-depth than my previous mocks and is meant as more of a draft guide than an information source.
We now know everything we need to know about these players. There isn’t much sense in pontificating.
This is based on my draft board, not yours, so keep that in mind when reading this. In keeping with the format of my previous mocks, this will cover five rounds for a superflex, PPR league.
Let’s get it.
After plowing through a number of rookie drafts, the 12 names in this tier will be the same in virtually every superflex rookie draft, though the order may vary.
1.01 – Trey Lance, QB, San Francisco 49ers (QB1)
Lance has the highest upside and the best situation of any rookie QB. Sign me up. The beauty is that you won’t have to spend 1.01 on him – Lawrence is still the favorite.
1.02 – Najee Harris, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers (RB1)
In a thin RB class where the other notable names either landed in less-than-ideal situations or failed to receive the draft capital to match their fantasy hype, there is a premium on Harris.
1.03 – Zach Wilson, QB, New York Jets (QB2)
My pre-draft QB1. He falls just one spot because of the value increase Harris saw. Wilson is still a stud and is the day one starter for the Jets, who aren’t even that bad of a landing spot.
1.04 – Trevor Lawrence, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars (QB3)
Sunshine moves up one spot in my rankings because I somehow like his situation more than the next player on this list. This is the highest pick I, personally, will pay for him.
1.05 – Justin Fields, QB, Chicago Bears (QB4)
Though I like Fields more than Lawrence, I hate where he landed. The weapons are fine in Chicago but I don’t believe in the coaching. This feels like a bad fit, picked out of desperation.
1.06 – Kyle Pitts, TE, Florida (TE1)
With the top RB and QBs off the board, this is the easiest decision in the draft. TE premium or not, Pitts is going to be that coveted #1 dynasty TE in time. This is the cheapest he’ll ever be.
1.07 – Javonte Williams, RB, Denver Broncos (RB2)
While his rookie season will likely be nerfed by the presence of a certain running back nearing his expiration date, Williams is going to take over as the primary runner eventually.
1.08 – Travis Etienne, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars (RB3)
The landing spot sucked and he’s going to be in a heavy committee backfield, but he got 1st-round draft capital and has the talent to overtake James Robinson as the lead back.
1.09 – DeVonta Smith, WR, Philadelphia Eagles (WR1)
People knock Jalen Hurts as an inaccurate, one-read QB. Then, is there a better target for a guy like that than Smith, who simultaneously has a large catch radius and is always open?
1.10 – Ja’Marr Chase, WR, Cincinnati Bengals (WR2)
Like it or not, this is the highest pick I’m willing to spend on Chase. If he becomes the WR1 in Cincy, for now, his target share is capped by the presence of Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd.
1.11 – Jaylen Waddle, WR, Miami Dolphins (WR3)
Waddle has the most upside of any receiver in this class, but will Miami be creative enough to deploy him in a way where he can be most effective? Paying this pick is worth it to find out.
1.12 – Mac Jones, QB, New England Patriots (QB5)
The biggest question for me is, “When will Jones finally get to start?” Cam Newton is cooked, so I’m assuming sooner than later, but Billy Boy works in mysterious ways.
Much like the 1st round, these will more-or-less be the same 12 names in every superflex rookie draft.
2.01 – Rashod Bateman, WR, Baltimore Ravens (WR4)
I hate the landing spot, but I believe in the talent.
2.02 – Elijah Moore, WR, New York Jets (WR5)
Say “hello” to Zach Wilson’s new favorite receiver.
2.03 – Michael Carter, RB, New York Jets (RB4)
Say “hello” to the new starting running back for the Jets.
2.04 – Pat Freiermuth, TE, Pittsburgh Steelers (TE2)
Freiermuth would be worth a late 1st rounder in most classes.
2.05 – Terrace Marshall Jr., WR, Carolina Panthers (WR6)
I’m a big fan of Marshall but there is a lot of competition for targets in Carolina.
2.06 – Rondale Moore, WR, Arizona Cardinals (WR7)
Will he be deployed effectively? Probably not, but the talent is too good to pass up here.
2.07 – Kadarius Toney, WR, New York Giants (WR8)
Perhaps the most hated 1st round pick in this year’s class.
2.08 – Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, Detroit Lions (WR9)
Fourth-round draft capital be damned, who else is catching passes in Detroit?
2.09 – Dyami Brown, WR, Washington Football Team (WR10)
Brown has a very real opportunity to open the year as WFT’s WR2.
2.10 – Trey Sermon, RB, San Francisco 49ers (RB5)
Still not a fan and he’s in one of the worst fantasy backfields but he got some draft capital.
2.11 – Kenny Gainwell, RB, Philadelphia Eagles (RB6)
The day 3 draft capital hurts, but Gainwell is a versatile player who will carve out a role.
2.12 – Davis Mills, QB, Houston Texans (QB6)
If Deshaun Watson does not play this year, Mills will be forced to start.
Between rancid landing spots and poor draft capital, many of our favorite names got the shaft. This tier consists of the ones I think still have a chance to become someone fantasy-relevant.
3.01 – Amari Rodgers, WR, Green Bay Packers (WR11)
3.02 – D’Wayne Eskridge, WR, Seattle Seahawks (WR12)
3.03 – Kellen Mond, QB, Minnesota Vikings (QB7)
3.04 – Kyle Trask, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (QB8)
3.05 – Nico Collins, WR, Houston Texans (WR13)
3.06 – Chuba Hubbard, RB, Carolina Panthers (RB7)
3.07 – Elijah Mitchell, RB, San Francisco 49ers (RB8)
3.08 – Hunter Long, TE, Miami Dolphins (TE3)
3.09 – Rhamondre Stevenson, RB, New England Patriots (RB9)
3.10 – Brevin Jordan, TE, Houston Texans (TE4)
3.11 – Tommy Tremble, TE, Carolina Panthers (TE5)
3.12 – Tylan Wallace, WR, Baltimore Ravens (WR14)
These players either got relatively decent draft capital or have weak competition for playing time, even if it is just a WR3/4 or rotational RB role.
4.01 – Jaelon Darden, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (WR15)
4.02 – Tutu Atwell, WR, Los Angeles Rams (WR16)
4.03 – Kylin Hill, RB, Green Bay Packers (RB10)
4.04 – Cornell Powell, WR, Kansas City Chiefs (WR17)
4.05 – Anthony Schwartz, WR, Cleveland Browns (WR18)
4.06 – Larry Rountree III, RB, Los Angeles Chargers (RB11)
4.07 – Ian Book, QB, New Orleans Saints (QB9)
4.08 – Luke Farrell, TE, Jacksonville Jaguars (TE6)
4.09 – Josh Palmer, WR, Los Angeles Chargers (WR19)
4.10 – Tre McKitty, TE, Los Angeles Chargers (TE7)
4.11 – Seth Williams, WR, Denver Broncos (WR20)
4.12 – Ihmir Smith-Marsette, WR, Minnesota Vikings (WR21)
These are long-shots based on either (a lack of) talent or being buried on the depth chart, or both. Perhaps one or two of these guys can develop into a starter in time.
5.01 – Zach Davidson, TE, Minnesota Vikings (TE8)
5.02 – Demetric Felton, RB, Cleveland Browns (RB12)
5.03 – Shi Smith, WR, Carolina Panthers (WR22)
5.04 – Racey McMath, WR, Tennessee Titans (WR23)
5.05 – Dez Fitzpatrick, WR, Tennessee Titans (WR24)
5.06 – Dazz Newsome, WR, Chicago Bears (WR25)
5.07 – Kene Nwangwu, RB, Minnesota Vikings (RB13)
5.08 – Khalil Herbert, RB, Chicago Bears (RB14)
5.09 – Simi Fehoko, WR, Dallas Cowboys (WR26)
5.10 – Chris Evans, RB, Cincinnati Bengals (RB15)
5.11 – Kylen Granson, TE, Indianapolis Colts (TE9)
5.12 – Gary Brightwell, RB, New York Giants (RB16)
I’ll be back with more devy and dynasty content as we approach football season, but it’s back to my bunker for now.
Thanks for reading and happy drafting!