By Connor Rigg
Reigning NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs won their first Super Bowl since 1970 against the NFL’s best defensive, the San Francisco 49ers. The Chiefs won the game 31-20, and Mahomes took home the Super Bowl MVP and then signed the richest contract in NFL history, a 12-year deal worth over $500 million! Mahomes is set for life and set for life as the Chiefs franchise QB. He has taken the Chiefs to new heights and looks to continue to obliterate defenses this upcoming season. Will this offense stay atop the league rankings, or will there be regression? Let’s take a look.
QB: Patrick Mahomes, Matt Moore
Mahomes had another great season last year with the Chiefs throwing for 4,031 yards (8.3 Y/A) while tossing 26 touchdowns to 5 interceptions and completing 65.9% of his passes. He missed two games due to injury, which affected his overall numbers, but still, he produced like an elite QB1. Mahomes finished as the QB7 while missing two games, and dealing with Tyreek Hill missing four games as well. Mahomes is the best passer I have ever seen, and the craziest thing is he admitted he is still learning how to read defenses. He also provides solid rushing totals. While he is no Lamar Jackson, he did run for 218 yards and two touchdowns on 43 attempts (5.1 Y/A). Mahomes is battling Lamar Jackson for the overall QB1 position, but I would lean towards Mahomes due to the higher injury risk of running quarterbacks like Lamar.
Moore was just recently resigned to come back as Mahomes backup. He did his job when Mahomes went down, throwing for four touchdowns and zero interceptions while completing 64.8% of his passes. Moore has no fantasy value unless Mahomes get injured.
RB: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, DeAndre Washington, Darrell Williams, Darwin Thompson
Clyde Edwards-Helaire was the Chiefs first pick with the very last pick in the first round in the NFL Draft. Andy Reid texted Mahomes, who he wanted to go and get to improve this offense even more, and Mahomes said, “Clyde.” That means something when the best QB in the world wants you on his team. CEH comes into a position where he can and should start right away. First-round rookie running backs have averaged 280.7 touches in their rookie season. Roughly 75% of them have finished as an RB2 or better, and being on this high-octane offense, a top 10 RB finish isn’t out of the question. Reid has come out and said that CEH is better than Brian Westbrook. Westbrook was an elite fantasy back for Reid, and that’s what I expect out of CEH. He has the 80+-catchability and double-digit touchdown upside in this offense. Draft CEH with confidence, and he is an excellent RB1/2 in his rookie season. UPDATE: Damien Williams has opted out of the 2020 NFL season. CEH is a first-round pick in all formats, and in dynasty startups, he is arguably a top 5-6 pick.
DeAndre Washington signed a two-year deal with the Chiefs in the off-season. He played well for the Raiders when Josh Jacobs got hurt starting three games for the Raiders last season: Week 13, Week 15, and Week 16. His stats in those games were: 96 total yards and one touchdown in Week 13, 106 total yards and one touchdown in Week 15, and for the championship, in Week 16, he produced 132 total yards while catching eight passes. View Washington as CEH’s handcuff, and if anything were to happen to Clyde, Washington would be an every-week RB2 with RB1 upside.
Darrell Williams and Darwin Thompson are mainly backups at this point. But it’s interesting to see how their usage will be with Damien Williams opting out. Darrell had some useful weeks last season. Darwin was a late-round sleeper in the last year’s draft but barely saw the field. They shouldn’t be on your fantasy radar unless something changes.
WR: Tyreek Hill, Sammy Watkins, Mecole Hardman, Demarcus Robinson
Hill battled injuries in the 2019 season, missing four games. When he was on the field, he produced as a WR1. Hill drew 89 targets and caught 58 (14/8 Y/R) for 860 yards and seven touchdowns. He has improved on his consistency during his career. He was a boom-bust player early in his career, but he’s become more consistent over his four-year career. If he is healthy, he has a shot at being the WR1 with Mahomes throwing him the ball. Hill is a very explosive player and tied to arguably the most talented QB ever. He should be a first-round selection in fantasy drafts.
Sammy Watkins had the best game of his career against the Jaguars exploding for 9 receptions for 198 yards and three touchdowns. Tyreke Hill left that game as well, which propelled Watkins to Mahomes number one receiver. Disappointingly, that didn’t amount to much seeing as he didn’t top 65 receiving yards the rest of the season and didn’t score another touchdown. That’s the summary of Watkins’ career. Very inconsistent and hasn’t lived up to the hype. His first two seasons of his career were his best, but he hasn’t stayed healthy and hasn’t produced. He did deliver in the playoffs going for (14-288-1) and was a crucial piece in the Chiefs Super Bowl run. This season, he is likely behind Kelce, Hill, and CEH in the passing game, so targets will be hard to come around. He should still likely receive anywhere from 60-80 targets if healthy. He is best viewed as a WR3 with WR2 upside if injuries occur in front of him.
Mecole Hardman had a great rookie year given the limited playing time he received. He produced 538 yards on 26 receptions and had six receiving scores. His 20.7 yards per reception led the Chiefs and was absurd for a rookie. Hardman earned more playing time when Hill was out, and Watkins was dealing with nagging injuries. He was also used in the return game and scored one touchdown. Chiefs said they want Hardman to play less in the kick and return game, which bodes well for his fantasy outlook. If Hardman can get a higher percentage of snaps, he can improve his numbers from his rookie campaign. Right now, he’s a high-end WR3/4 but can produce WR2 numbers on any given Sunday.
Demarcus Robinson resigned this off-season after his rookie contract expired. He received 55 targets on the season while catching 32 passes for 449 yards and four touchdowns. Robinson hasn’t produced in his four seasons with the Chiefs and is likely behind Hill, Watkins, and Hardman in the pecking order for wide receivers. Injuries can happen, but banking on them for Robinson to produce is not a game I want to play. He’s best left on waivers and is only a WR5 with some upside if injuries do occur.
TE: Travis Kelce, Ricky Seals-Jones
Kelce has been the NFL’s best tight end since 2016 and doesn’t look like he is slowing down anytime soon. He’s finished as the TE1 since 2016 and has finished as a TE1 since 2014. Last year, Kelce amassed 1,229 yards on 97 receptions (9.04 Y/T) while scoring five touchdowns. He led all tight ends in receptions, yards, targets, and tied with eight tight ends in receiving touchdowns. Kelce has the highest upside out of all of the tight ends aside from George Kittle because he is playing with reigning Super Bowl MVP Patrick Mahomes. Kelce looks to finish as the overall TE1 for the fifth straight season. He’s an elite asset yet again, and he is worth a second-round pick in your fantasy drafts.
Ricky Seals-Jones is nothing more than a backup at this point. If Kelce were to get hurt, he would have TE2 upside playing in this high powered offense.
Connor Rigg – Redraft
Ride or Dynasty