Redraft Rankings 2019: Quarterbacks

I’m going to skip introductions and just get right to it.

Tier 1: Elite – As this tier suggests, if you land one of these quarterbacks, you’re golden. You should only need to play a different QB in the case of an injury, bye week, or simply a matchup too good to pass up.

1. Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs – 6’3”/230, Bye 12

Do I even have to explain this? If you really need something, just look at this stat line from last year: 383/580 completions (66.0%), 5097 yards, 50 touchdowns, 12 interceptions.

2. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers – 6’2”/225, Bye 11

Let’s not get it twisted. Rodgers isn’t falling off. He’s still one of the best two or three quarterbacks in the game. One “down” year where he played injured the whole season doesn’t change that.

3. Baker Mayfield, Cleveland Browns – 6’1”/215, Bye 7

More like “Bae-ker,” amiright? Or how about “BMF,” because he’s a bad motherf’er? Alright, I think we’ve identified my man crush at QB… If you’re feeling dangerous, I’m projecting 40 touchdowns for the second-year star.

4. Deshaun Watson, Houston Texans – 6’2”/220, Bye 10

With the retirement of Andrew Luck, Watson secures his place in Tier 1 despite his offensive line. If he can get some proper protection, look out, football world.

Tier 2: QB1s – This tier is the rest of my favorites as QB1 options. Players in this tier have more questions than Tier 1 QBs about injuries, offensive line woes, usage, potential regression in fantasy output, age, etc. The guys in this group are great options to begin the season with and should be consistent high-level performers throughout the sesaon.

5. Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons – 6’4”/217, Bye 9

Ryan’s past five seasons: 7th in 2014, 19th in 2015, 2nd in 2016, 15th in 2017, then only to finish 2nd again in 2018. Ryan loves playing in domes, however, and Atlanta plays 13 games in domes this season. Given that, I think he will break the pattern in 2019.

6. Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles – 6’5”/237, Bye 10

Philly’s offense is absolutely loaded and Wentz will have a field day in 2019 as he returns to his 2017 pre-injury form. Health will be key for Wentz though, so ranking him at six isn’t without risk. Have a solid backup plan if you draft him, just in case.

7. Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers – 6’5”/245, Bye 7

Recent foot issue aside, Newton appears to be fully healthy heading into 2019 and he has the best receiving weapons around him since the Steve Smith days. Carolina has the talent to be one of the league’s best offenses in 2019. A top five fantasy finish for Newton is very possible.

8. Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks – 5’11”/215, Bye 11

Wilson finished as QB9 in fantasy last year. He only threw for 3448 yards, and throwing 35 TDs on 427 attempts won’t happen again, but it is also likely Wilson throws the ball a lot more than 427 times in 2019. He did just get paid $140 mil…

9. Jared Goff, Los Angeles Rams – 6’4”/222, Bye 9

After Cooper Kupp tore his ACL, the Rams offense hit the brakes. Hard. Goff was QB22 from weeks 11 to 16, just in time for the fantasy playoffs. That’s the bad of it. However, he was QB3 up until that point, and finished 7th overall. He still plays in one of the game’s best offenses.

10. Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys – 6’2”/238, Bye 8

Prescott has been a top 10 fantasy quarterback his whole career, so that’s where he will remain in my rankings until that changes. With the talent in Dallas around him right now, 2019 could be Dak’s best season yet.

11. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints – 6’0”/209, Bye 9

Brees is one of the all-time greats to play quarterback. He’s still performing at a high level but his role in the offense is declining as he gets older. Brees is 40 heading into this season, and he made less than 500 passing attempts for the first time since 2004. Still a low-end QB1.

12. Philip Rivers, Los Angeles Chargers – 6’5”/228, Bye 12

A low-end QB1 from a year ago. Rivers still has that upside and he has the weapons around him to get there, with or without Melvin Gordon. Since 2013, Rivers has averaged 375 completions for 4461 yards, 31 touchdowns, and 14 picks. He’s 37 but he’s not dropping off just yet.

Tier 3: QB2s – The first and last name in this tier will likely be separated by a whopping 30 fantasy points, so the order doesn’t matter that much. That said, these rankings are by no means random. A strategy I like a lot is to draft two guys from this tier and play matchups with them. A steady veteran paired a young guy ready to breakout would be a nice combo. And as always, don’t reach too far for these guys. Let them come to you, maybe sneak someone you like in a round before their ADP to ensure you secure him.

13. Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 6’4”/231, Bye 7

I couldn’t think of a more perfect fit for the Lucky 13 profile. Winston is a very talented quarterback but has struggled with inconsistency and turnovers in his career. If any coach can coax the talent out of Winston, it’s Bruce Arians. If he succeeds, look out for Tampa in 2019.

14. Kirk Cousins, Minnesota Vikings – 6’3”/202, Bye 12

Cousins was QB13 in 2018. He is typically a high-60s percentage passer (70.1% last year) who is good for at least 4000 yards and 25 touchdowns each year. That’s not exactly exciting, but it is a strong, sturdy floor.

15. Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers – 6’5”/240, Bye 7

Last year’s 3rd-best fantasy quarterback, Big Ben is without a doubt going to see a sizable drop-off. Antonio Brown is gone, and while Juju Smith-Schuster easily steps into the #1 role, there are nothing but questions behind him. Pittsburgh will be running the ball in 2019. A lot.

16. Sam Darnold, New York Jets – 6’3”/225, Bye 4

We’re going to see a year-two breakout from Darnold. Darnold finished his rookie season strong, as he was 8th in fantasy points per game over his final four games, and he now has a head coach known for his work with quarterbacks in Adam Gase.

17. Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens – 6’2”/212, Bye 8

I have seen some crazy hype around Lamar Jackson this offseason. Some of it is warranted. He was, after all, the #11 QB in fantasy after taking over as the full-time starter last season. But, will he take the next step as a passer in 2019? I’m leaning “yes,” but I’m approaching with caution.

18. Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions – 6’3”/220, Bye 5

Stafford is being slept on too much in fantasy. He has finished as a QB1 five times since 2012 and he played with a broken back last year! Stafford is primed for a comeback season. Perhaps he won’t be top 12, but he has the ability. Take advantage of his low ADP and draft this gem late.

19. Tom Brady, New England Patriots – 6’4”/225, Bye 10

Brady was last year’s QB14 but I’m predicting he finishes lower than that in his age 42 season. I have no doubt in Brady’s ability to lead New England to another Super Bowl, but I’m not looking his way as a weekly viable option in fantasy football.

20. Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals – 5’10”/207, Bye 12

Behold! This is the highest I have ever placed a rookie QB in my redraft rankings! And yet, it feels like I’m way lower than most. Let’s pump the brakes on the hype a little bit. I believe Murray will be good but rookie QBs are hard to predict. Pair Murray with a proven vet if you draft him.

21. Mitchell Trubisky, Chicago Bears – 6’2”/215, Bye 6

Trubisky finished 15th in fantasy last year. However, I have enough questions about him that I’m not trusting him as anything more than a backup option at QB this year. I like Trubisky in spot-duty at least, and if he takes the next step as a passer, that’s just a bonus.

22. Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders – 6’3”/210, Bye 6

This too low for Carr, but I don’t know who I would drop ahead of him. He finished as QB17 last year and has much better talent around him this season. Carr will be a sneaky good pickup that you can get in the final round of your drafts.

23. Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills – 6’5”/237, Bye 6

Allen finished as QB20 as a rookie and was 19th in points per game. He also missed four games to an injury. Allen looked very raw as a passer though, only completing 52.8% of his passes. Much of Allen’s fantasy value was in his 631 rushing yards and 8 TDs. Can he repeat that?

24. Jimmy Garoppolo, San Francisco 49ers – 6’2”/225, Bye 4

Jimmy G has looked bad in training camp and preseason, but it is hard to believe that will carry over into the regular season. If it does, however, keep an eye out for backup Nick Mullens, who did play quite well in Garoppolo’s absence last year.

Tier 4: Waiver Watch List – These are players who are likely to go undrafted, but could be valuable additions through the free agent pool at some point this season.

25. Joe Flacco, Denver Broncos – 6’6”/245, Bye 10

26. Nick Foles, Jacksonville Jaguars – 6’6”/243, Bye 10

27. Marcus Mariota, Tennessee Titans – 6’4”/222, Bye 11

28. Andy Dalton, Cincinnati Bengals – 6’2”/220, Bye 9

29. Jacoby Brissett, Indianapolis Colts – 6’4”/238, Bye 6

30. Eli Manning, New York Giants – 6’5”/220, Bye 11

31. Case Keenum, Washington Redskins – 6’1”/215, Bye 10

32. Josh Rosen, Miami Dolphins – 6’4”/226, Bye 5

33. Dwayne Haskins, Washington Redskins – 6’4”/230, Bye 10

34. Daniel Jones, New York Giants – 6’5”/221, Bye 11

35. Ryan Fitzpatrick, Miami Dolphins – 6’2”/228, Bye 5

36. Ryan Tannehill, Tennessee Titans – 6’4”/207, Bye 11

37. Nick Mullens, San Francisco 49ers – 6’1”/210, Bye 4

38. Drew Lock, Denver Broncos – 6’4”/228, Bye 10

39. Ryan Finley, Cincinnati Bengals – 6’4”/207, Bye 9

40. Teddy Bridgewater, New Orleans Saints – 6’2”/215, Bye 9

Thanks for reading! Follow me on Twitter @bicspicksffb

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